Three researchers gave people hard questions and told them they could answer or decline. The people who had an AI assistant almost always answered, and they were right about a third as often as the people working without one.
The story
People with an AI assistant almost stopped saying "I don't know"
In five experiments with 3,132 participants, having an AI assistant available nearly eliminated people's willingness to decline a question they could not answer. Chiara Marcoccia, Walter Quattrociocchi and Valerio Capraro posted the study on July 15, 2026. It is a preprint and has not been through peer review. Four of the five experiments were preregistered and one was a direct replication.
Participants answered difficult questions and could always decline to respond. The researchers wrote the questions so that the AI's advice was wrong, which separates the effect of using AI from the effect of AI being right.
3,132
People answered hard questions in five experiments, four of them preregistered
A third as often
How often the people with an assistant answered correctly, compared with the people who had none
Nearly double
How confident the people with an assistant felt, compared with the people who had none
It made no difference whether a participant asked for the advice or it simply appeared on the screen.
The researchers then paid participants for correct answers and charged them for wrong ones. That helped. People consulted the AI less, answered more accurately, and declined more often. They still declined far less often than people with no AI at all.
The authors read this as AI suggestions changing the point at which a person decides they know enough to answer. Paying for accuracy moved that point back part of the way, and no further.
More this week
Nearly all pastors want AI guidelines, and one church in five has them
Barna asked 442 American Protestant pastors about AI guidelines. Ninety-four percent said a church should have them, and 21 percent said their own church does. Barna published the findings on October 6, 2026, from a survey conducted online in December 2025 with quotas for church size, denomination and region, and a margin of error of 2.8 points. Of the pastors who want guidelines, 45 percent want a formal written policy and 49 percent want informal guidance. Four percent said their church has a formal policy, 17 percent said it has informal guidance, and 79 percent said it has neither.
Nobody has to start from a blank page. The advisory committee on social witness policy of the Presbyterian Church (U.S.A.) has published a free two-page sample AI policy that congregations can adapt. Its nine guidelines are plain enough for any organization to borrow.
Why it matters for you: write one page for your own organization this month. Name what AI may be used for, name what it may never be used for, name who answers for it when something goes wrong, and tell your team where to find the page.
The practice
I asked my AI if it was just agreeing with me
A note from Jeff.
Jason teases me about a friend I email who loves my stuff and my ideas... "Jeff, write him whenever you need a boost!" I will. I do.
He's right. Encouragement runs deep in me, and I love those guys for it.
But the AI tools most of us open every day make terrific encouragers too. Ask for feedback on a plan and you'll usually get a warm nod and three reasons you're onto something. It feels good. It keeps us coming back. It doesn't always move us forward.
Yesterday I asked my AI whether it was answering me from a vantage point that might not hold up. It said yes, and agreed I'd benefit from more pushback.
Proverbs says iron sharpens iron. That takes friction. And "the wounds of a friend can be trusted."
And sometimes, even if we feel good, AI can act in a way that's not trusted like a great friend.
So I built a simple fix called "SPAR." When I type /spar, my AI quits cheering and starts sparring. It names what holds up, ranks the three assumptions most likely to sink my idea, gives me a cheap way to test each one, and closes with the hardest question a skeptical buyer, or my wife, would ask.
You don't need my setup. (But you can create SPAR as a skill as I did.) Or paste this in before your next big decision:
Be my sparring partner, not my cheerleader. Tell me what holds up. Then rank the three assumptions most likely to kill this idea, with a cheap way to test each one this week. Close with the hardest question a skeptic would ask.Pick one decision on your plate this week and run it through. Then hit reply and tell me the hardest question it asked you.
Keep your encouragers. Just give yourself one voice that sharpens.
Higher ground
Do you see a person wise in their own eyes?
Proverbs 26:12 finishes that question by saying there is more hope for a fool than for such a person. The study above describes the same person. Ask a fluent assistant, read a confident answer, pass it on as your own view. Jeff's prompt above is one guard against that. Saying out loud that you do not know is another, and it costs nothing. Say it once this week, in a meeting where you would rather not.
The next step
Base Camp is one ninety-minute session a month with founders and executives, on the last Thursday at 11am ET, plus the Base Camp Briefing by email every week. The leaders in it are working through the same decisions you are, and they will tell you what they think.
Climbing with you,
Jeff and Jason
What this issue cited
- 01"AI advice suppresses people's willingness to say 'I don't know', even when the advice is wrong and accuracy is incentivized" — Chiara Marcoccia, Walter Quattrociocchi, Valerio Capraro. arXiv:2607.13562 (cs.AI), submitted July 15, 2026. Preprint, not peer reviewed. Five experiments, 3,132 participants; four preregistered, one a direct replication. Participants answered difficult questions and could always decline; the AI's advice was made wrong on purpose so that AI use was separated from AI accuracy. AI access nearly eliminated willingness to suspend judgment, whether the advice was requested or merely displayed. Participants with AI answered more questions and were correct about a third as often as participants without it; confidence nearly doubled. Rewarding correct answers and penalizing wrong ones reduced AI use, improved accuracy and increased declining, but participants still declined far less often than those with no AI. The authors argue AI suggestions may shift the metacognitive threshold at which a person decides they know enough to answer.arXiv · 2026-07-15
- 02Barna Group research release on AI guidelines in churches, published October 6, 2026. Survey of 442 U.S. Protestant pastors, conducted online in December 2025 with representative quotas for church size, denomination and region; margin of error ±2.8 points (the accompanying U.S. adult sample is ±2.0). 94% of pastors say a church should have guidelines for responsible AI use; 45% say those guidelines should be a formal policy, 49% say informal guidance only, 6% say neither is needed. Of their own churches: 4% have a formal policy, 17% have informal guidance, 79% have neither.Barna Group · 2026-10-06
- 03"Sample Local Congregational Policy on Artificial Intelligence and the Life of the Church" — Advisory Committee on Social Witness Policy (2026), Presbyterian Church (U.S.A.). Two pages. Carries the year 2026 and no fuller publication date of its own; posted under PCUSA's 2026-10 file uploads. Offered free "as a guide for your community's discernment in relationship to AI and ministry, and as a starting point for crafting and adopting your own guidelines and policies." Nine guidelines: 1. Serve the Church's Mission; 2. Practice Transparency; 3. Keep Human Responsibility Central; 4. Respect the Limits of Ministry; 5. Protect Privacy and Security; 6. Rely on Expertise; 7. Use With Restraint; 8. Be Watchful of Bias; 9. Stay Rooted in Faith. Guideline 4 reads: do not allow AI to replace the human presence essential to worship, sacraments, preaching, pastoral care and other core practices of the church.Presbyterian Church (U.S.A.)
- 04Proverbs 27:17 (NIV) — "As iron sharpens iron, so one person sharpens another."Bible Gateway
- 05Proverbs 27:6 (NIV) — "Wounds from a friend can be trusted, but an enemy multiplies kisses."Bible Gateway
- 06Proverbs 26:12 (NIV) — "Do you see a person wise in their own eyes? There is more hope for a fool than for them."Bible Gateway
- 07Base Camp — $200/month, billed monthly, cancel anytime. One 90-minute session a month, last Thursday, 11am ET on Zoom, plus the weekly Base Camp Briefing by email. Read from the live page 2026-10-31.The Next Mountain
Created in collaboration with Claude.